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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin Betting tips for March 9 in Slovenia 2. SNL
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 14h00 Slovenia 2. SNL
ND Slovan Ljubljana ND Slovan Ljubljana
PREDICTION No tip
NK Tolmin NK Tolmin
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ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin Betting tips for March 9 in Slovenia 2. SNL

Our betting tip for ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
14:00
ND Slovan Ljubljana ND Slovan Ljubljana
2.35
X
3.26
NK Tolmin NK Tolmin
2.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin

Some important points for the tip for ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ND Slovan Ljubljana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $72.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Tolmin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, NK Tolmin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for NK Tolmin as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin for the Slovenia 2. SNL – 9 of March

🏟️ ND Slovan Ljubljana X NK Tolmin – Slovenia 2. SNL
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ ND Slovan Ljubljana – Winning probability: 45.31% | Fair line: 2.21
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.90% | Fair line: 4.02
πŸ”΄ NK Tolmin – Winning probability: 29.79% | Fair line: 3.36
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ND Slovan Ljubljana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin

Should you bet on ND Slovan Ljubljana?

πŸ”΅ ND Slovan Ljubljana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $607.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$57.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $565.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$185.00.

Is betting on NK Tolmin worth it?

πŸ”΄ NK Tolmin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$217.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ND Slovan Ljubljana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 ND Slovan Ljubljana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ND Slovan Ljubljana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 ND Slovan Ljubljana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ND Slovan Ljubljana x NK Tolmin

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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