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Home » Predictions » Others » Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia Betting tips for January 8 in Cyprus Division 1
Wednesday, 08 January 2025, 17h30 Cyprus Division 1
Nea Salamis Famagusta Nea Salamis Famagusta
PREDICTION Apoel Nicosia Wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia Betting tips for January 8 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia, Wednesday, 8/1/2025
📅 8/1/2025
17:30
Nea Salamis Famagusta Nea Salamis Famagusta
6.11
X
4.10
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
1.46

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia:

🔮 Apoel Nicosia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Apoel Nicosia, you can win up to $730.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nea Salamis Famagusta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Apoel Nicosia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Apoel Nicosia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Apoel Nicosia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia, with Nea Salamis Famagusta as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Apoel Nicosia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Nea Salamis Famagusta conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Apoel Nicosia.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Apoel Nicosia has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Apoel Nicosia won the last 5 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis Famagusta´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia for the Cyprus Division 1 – 8 of January

🏟️ Nea Salamis Famagusta X Apoel Nicosia – Cyprus Division 1
📅 8 of January, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Nea Salamis Famagusta – Winning probability: 5.91% | Fair line: 16.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.31% | Fair line: 12.03
🔴 Apoel Nicosia – Winning probability: 85.78% | Fair line: 1.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Nea Salamis Famagusta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1243711 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia

Should you bet on Nea Salamis Famagusta?

🔵 Nea Salamis Famagusta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $306.60;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$633.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $248.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$672.00.

Is betting on Apoel Nicosia worth it?

🔴 Apoel Nicosia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 85.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – profiting $395.60;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$255.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Nea Salamis Famagusta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Nea Salamis Famagusta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Nea Salamis Famagusta.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nea Salamis Famagusta x Apoel Nicosia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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