Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara Betting tips for July 6 in America Friendlies
| 📅 6/7/2025 00:00 |
 Necaxa2.26 |
X 3.52 |
Chivas Guadalajara  2.68 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara:
🔮 Chivas Guadalajara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chivas Guadalajara, you can win up to $1340.00!
Important information for your tip for Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Chivas Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Chivas Guadalajara conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Chivas Guadalajara has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara for the America Friendlies – 6 of July
🏟️ Necaxa X Chivas Guadalajara – America Friendlies
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 Necaxa – Winning probability: 39.27% | Fair line: 2.55
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.34% | Fair line: 5.77
🔴 Chivas Guadalajara – Winning probability: 43.38% | Fair line: 2.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Necaxa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348834 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara
Is betting on Necaxa worth it?
🔵 Necaxa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $491.40;
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$118.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $428.40;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$401.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Chivas Guadalajara?
🔴 Chivas Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $722.40;
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$152.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Necaxa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Necaxa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Necaxa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Chivas Guadalajara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Necaxa x Chivas Guadalajara
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
