Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr Betting tips for September 29 in Belarus Premier League

Our betting tip for Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:45

Neman Grodno 1.48

X 3.90

Slavia Mozyr 5.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr:

🔮 Neman Grodno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Neman Grodno, you can win up to $740.00!

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Important information for your tip for Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Neman Grodno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-248.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Slavia Mozyr in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-204.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Slavia Mozyr, Neman Grodno scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Neman Grodno conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Neman Grodno has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Slavia Mozyr playing at home.

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Analysis from Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr for the Belarus Premier League – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr

Is betting on Neman Grodno worth it?

🔵 Neman Grodno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $379.20
• And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$169.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $406.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Slavia Mozyr worth it?

🔴 Slavia Mozyr: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $332.50;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$597.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Neman Grodno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Neman Grodno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Neman Grodno.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Neman Grodno x Slavia Mozyr

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.