New Mexico United x Orange County SC Betting tips for November 9 in USA USL Championship
| 📅 9/11/2025 02:00 |
 New Mexico United1.94 |
X 3.50 |
Orange County SC  3.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for New Mexico United x Orange County SC:
🔮 New Mexico United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on New Mexico United, you can win up to $970.00!
Important information for your tip for New Mexico United x Orange County SC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on New Mexico United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Orange County SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, New Mexico United scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Orange County SC, New Mexico United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 New Mexico United has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Orange County SC playing at home.
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Analysis from New Mexico United x Orange County SC for the USA USL Championship – 9 of November
🏟️ New Mexico United X Orange County SC – USA USL Championship
📅 9 of November, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 New Mexico United – Winning probability: 60.26% | Fair line: 1.66
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.40% | Fair line: 4.9
🔴 Orange County SC – Winning probability: 19.34% | Fair line: 5.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New Mexico United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for New Mexico United x Orange County SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434443 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for New Mexico United x Orange County SC
Is it worth betting on New Mexico United?
🔵 New Mexico United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $564.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$164.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $500.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Is it worth betting on Orange County SC?
🔴 Orange County SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $456.00;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match New Mexico United x Orange County SC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New Mexico United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New Mexico United x Orange County SC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 New Mexico United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 New Mexico United.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New Mexico United x Orange County SC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
