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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II Betting tips for September 29 in USA MLS Next Pro League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 20h00 USA MLS Next Pro League
New York City FC II New York City FC II
PREDICTION FC Cincinnati II Wins Probability 39% 1 X 2
FC Cincinnati II FC Cincinnati II
ODD: @2.76 Don't miss this prediction!

New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II Betting tips for September 29 in USA MLS Next Pro League

Our betting tip for New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
20:00
New York City FC II New York City FC II
2.13
X
3.74
FC Cincinnati II FC Cincinnati II
2.76

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FC Cincinnati II wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Cincinnati II, you can win up to $1380.00!

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Some important points for the tip for New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on New York City FC II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Cincinnati II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC II scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 FC Cincinnati II matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, FC Cincinnati II has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II for the USA MLS Next Pro League – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ New York City FC II X FC Cincinnati II – USA MLS Next Pro League
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต New York City FC II – Winning probability: 47.30% | Fair line: 2.11
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.65% | Fair line: 7.32
๐Ÿ”ด FC Cincinnati II – Winning probability: 39.05% | Fair line: 2.56
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 New York City FC II
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II

Is betting on New York City FC II worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต New York City FC II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $531.10
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$1.10 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $383.60
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$476.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Cincinnati II?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Cincinnati II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $686.40;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$76.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 New York City FC II
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 New York City FC II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 New York City FC II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 FC Cincinnati II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC II x FC Cincinnati II

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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