Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon Betting tips for October 1 in England EFL Cup
📅 1/10/2024 15:45 |
Newcastle 1.20 |
X 5.93 |
AFC Wimbledon 10.90 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon:
🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $600.00!
Some important points for the tip for Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $346.0. |
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Analysis from Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon for the England EFL Cup – 1 of October
🏟️ Newcastle X AFC Wimbledon – England EFL Cup |
When the best bet on Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon
Is betting on Newcastle worth it?
🔵 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 970 times – profiting $194.00;
- And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$164.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $98.60
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$881.40.
Is betting on AFC Wimbledon worth it?
🔴 AFC Wimbledon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $99.00;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$891.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Newcastle.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x AFC Wimbledon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.