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Home » Predictions » Others » Newcastle x Bromley Betting tips for January 12 in England FA Cup
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 England FA Cup
Newcastle Newcastle
PREDICTION Newcastle wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Bromley Bromley
ODD: @1.11 Don't miss this prediction!

Newcastle x Bromley Betting tips for January 12 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Bromley, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
15:00
Newcastle Newcastle
1.11
X
9.00
Bromley Bromley
17.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Newcastle x Bromley:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $555.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Newcastle x Bromley:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-34.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bromley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $495.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Newcastle scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Bromley scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Newcastle is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Newcastle x Bromley for the England FA Cup – 12 of January

🏟️ Newcastle X Bromley – England FA Cup
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Newcastle – Winning probability: 99.30% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.36% | Fair line: 281.19
🔴 Bromley – Winning probability: 0.34% | Fair line: 292.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newcastle x Bromley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Bromley

Should you bet on Newcastle?

🔵 Newcastle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $108.90;
  • And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$98.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on Bromley worth it?

🔴 Bromley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 17.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Bromley

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Bromley

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.5 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Newcastle. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Bromley

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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