Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United Betting tips for April 11 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United, Saturday, 11/4/2026

📅 11/4/2026 07:00

Newcastle Jets 2.04

X 4.00

Adelaide United 2.98

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United:

🔮 Adelaide United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Adelaide United, you can win up to $1490.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle Jets in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Adelaide United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $570.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Newcastle Jets scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Adelaide United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Adelaide United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Newcastle Jets conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Adelaide United.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Adelaide United has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United for the Australia A-League – 11 of April

Odds and handicap movements for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1519486 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it worth betting on Newcastle Jets?

🔵 Newcastle Jets: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $384.80
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$245.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is it worth betting on Adelaide United?

🔴 Adelaide United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $851.40;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$281.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newcastle Jets
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Newcastle Jets, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Newcastle Jets.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Adelaide United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Newcastle Jets x Adelaide United