📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Newcastle Jets x Western United FC
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Analysis from Newcastle Jets x Western United FC for the Australia A-League – 19 of January
🏟️ Newcastle Jets X Western United FC – Australia A-League
When the best bet on Newcastle Jets x Western United FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle Jets x Western United FC
Is betting on Newcastle Jets worth it?
🔵 Newcastle Jets: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $778.75;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.75.
Is betting on Western United FC worth it?
🔴 Western United FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $352.60;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$447.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle Jets x Western United FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newcastle Jets
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle Jets x Western United FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Newcastle Jets, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Newcastle Jets.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle Jets x Western United FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves