📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Newcastle Jets Women x Perth Glory Women
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Analysis from Newcastle Jets Women x Perth Glory Women for the Australia A-League Women – 16 of January
🏟️ Newcastle Jets Women X Perth Glory Women – Australia A-League Women
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle Jets Women and Perth Glory Women.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Newcastle Jets Women x Perth Glory Women
Is it worth betting on Newcastle Jets Women?
🔵 Newcastle Jets Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $474.81;
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$44.81. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $499.70;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$310.30.
Is betting on Perth Glory Women worth it?
🔴 Perth Glory Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle Jets Women x Perth Glory Women
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Newcastle Jets Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle Jets Women x Perth Glory Women
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Newcastle Jets Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Newcastle Jets Women.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Newcastle Jets Women.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle Jets Women x Perth Glory Women
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves