Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd Betting tips for November 23 in Northern Ireland Championship
π
23/11/2024 15:00 |
Newington FC 2.40 |
X 3.60 |
Ballinamallard Utd 2.37 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd
Important information for your tip for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd: π If you had bet $100 on Newington FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd for the Northern Ireland Championship – 23 of November
ποΈ Newington FC X Ballinamallard Utd – Northern Ireland Championship |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd
Is it a good idea to bet on Newington FC?
π΅ Newington FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $490.00;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$160.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$136.00.
Should you bet on Ballinamallard Utd?
π΄ Ballinamallard Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $561.70;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$28.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Newington FC
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Newington FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Newington FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Ballinamallard Utd.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.