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15/1/2022 12:30 |
 Newport County1.91 |
X 3.30 |
Harrogate Town  4.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Newport County x Harrogate Town:
๐ฎ Newport County wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newport County, you can win up to $954.75!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Newport County x Harrogate Town
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Newport County x Harrogate Town?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Newport County x Harrogate Town:
Analysis from Newport County x Harrogate Town for the England League 2 – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ Newport County X Harrogate Town – England League 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newport County and Harrogate Town.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Newport County x Harrogate Town
Is it a good idea to bet on Newport County?
๐ต Newport County: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $509.32;
- And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$69.32.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $621.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$109.00.
Should you bet on Harrogate Town?
๐ด Harrogate Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $510.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$320.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newport County x Harrogate Town
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Newport County
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newport County x Harrogate Town
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Newport County, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Newport County.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Newport County.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newport County x Harrogate Town
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
