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Home » Predictions » Others » Newport County x Morecambe Betting tips for February 4 in England League 2
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h45 England League 2
Newport County Newport County
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Morecambe Morecambe
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Newport County x Morecambe Betting tips for February 4 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Newport County x Morecambe, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
19:45
Newport County Newport County
2.40
X
3.30
Morecambe Morecambe
2.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newport County x Morecambe:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Newport County x Morecambe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Newport County in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Morecambe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 Morecambe did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Newport County scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Morecambe, Newport County scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Morecambe conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Newport County has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Morecambe playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Morecambe as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Newport County x Morecambe for the England League 2 – 4 of February

🏟️ Newport County X Morecambe – England League 2
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Newport County – Winning probability: 33.28% | Fair line: 3.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.37% | Fair line: 2.91
🔴 Morecambe – Winning probability: 32.35% | Fair line: 3.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newport County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newport County x Morecambe right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1256585 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newport County x Morecambe

Is it worth betting on Newport County?

🔵 Newport County: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $782.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Morecambe?

🔴 Morecambe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $550.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$129.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newport County x Morecambe

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newport County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newport County x Morecambe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Newport County, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Newport County.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newport County x Morecambe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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