Newtown x Penybont Betting tips for January 14 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Newtown x Penybont, Tuesday, 14/1/2025

📅 14/1/2025 19:45

Newtown 5.00

X 3.90

Penybont 1.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Newtown x Penybont:

🔮 Penybont wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penybont, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Newtown x Penybont: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newtown in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penybont in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-132.0. 👉 Newtown did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Penybont scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Penybont matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Penybont conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Newtown conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Penybont. 👉 Even as a visitor, Penybont won the last 5 head-to-head matches Newtown´s territory

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Newtown x Penybont?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Newtown x Penybont for the Wales Premier League – 14 of January

When the best bet on Newtown x Penybont is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245823 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newtown x Penybont

Should you bet on Newtown?

🔵 Newtown: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $320.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$600.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $319.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Is it worth betting on Penybont?

🔴 Penybont: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $445.50;
• And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$255.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newtown x Penybont

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Newtown
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newtown x Penybont

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Newtown, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Newtown.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Newtown.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newtown x Penybont

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.