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Nicaragua x Dominican Republic Betting tips for November 22 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic, Wednesday, 22/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 22/11/2023
02:00
Nicaragua Nicaragua
1.95
X
3.25
Dominican Republic Dominican Republic
3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nicaragua wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nicaragua, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nicaragua in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $76.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dominican Republic in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Nicaragua scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Nicaragua matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Dominican Republic matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Nicaragua did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Nicaragua is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nicaragua x Dominican Republic?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nicaragua x Dominican Republic, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nicaragua x Dominican Republic for the CONCACAF Nations League – 22 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Nicaragua X Dominican Republic – CONCACAF Nations League
๐Ÿ“… 22 of November, 2023 – 02:00
๐Ÿ”ต Nicaragua – Winning probability: 59.95% | Fair line: 1.67
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.38% | Fair line: 4.68
๐Ÿ”ด Dominican Republic – Winning probability: 18.67% | Fair line: 5.36
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nicaragua
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic

Is betting on Nicaragua worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Nicaragua: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$170.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $472.50;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$317.50.

Is it worth betting on Dominican Republic?

๐Ÿ”ด Dominican Republic: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nicaragua x Dominican Republic

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nicaragua
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Nicaragua, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Nicaragua.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Nicaragua.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nicaragua x Dominican Republic

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves