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Home » Predictions » Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance Betting tips for September 29 in Nigeria Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Nigeria Premier League
Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes
PREDICTION No tip
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance
Don't miss this prediction!

Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance Betting tips for September 29 in Nigeria Premier League

Our betting tip for Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes
1.68
X
3.15
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance
5.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance

The main points for the tip for Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bendel Insurance in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

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Summary

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Analysis from Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance for the Nigeria Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ Niger Tornadoes X Bendel Insurance – Nigeria Premier League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Niger Tornadoes – Winning probability: 62.45% | Fair line: 1.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.88% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Bendel Insurance – Winning probability: 8.67% | Fair line: 11.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Niger Tornadoes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Niger Tornadoes and Bendel Insurance.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance

Is it a good idea to bet on Niger Tornadoes?

🔵 Niger Tornadoes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $421.60;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$41.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $623.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.50.

Is betting on Bendel Insurance worth it?

🔴 Bendel Insurance: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $369.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$541.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Niger Tornadoes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Niger Tornadoes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Niger Tornadoes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Bendel Insurance.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Niger Tornadoes x Bendel Insurance

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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