📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Niki Volou x Apollon Larissa
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Analysis from Niki Volou x Apollon Larissa for the Greece Super League 2 – 22 of January
🏟️ Niki Volou X Apollon Larissa – Greece Super League 2
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Niki Volou x Apollon Larissa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Niki Volou x Apollon Larissa
Should you bet on Niki Volou?
🔵 Niki Volou: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $295.80
- And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$165.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $341.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$549.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Apollon Larissa?
🔴 Apollon Larissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $258.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$712.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Niki Volou x Apollon Larissa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Niki Volou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Niki Volou x Apollon Larissa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Niki Volou, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Niki Volou.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Apollon Larissa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Niki Volou x Apollon Larissa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves