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Home » Predictions » Others » Nissa FC x ASD Paterno Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Nissa FC Nissa FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
ASD Paterno ASD Paterno
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Nissa FC x ASD Paterno Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Nissa FC x ASD Paterno, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
13:30
Nissa FC Nissa FC
2.28
X
3.10
ASD Paterno ASD Paterno
2.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nissa FC x ASD Paterno:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Nissa FC x ASD Paterno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Paterno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Nissa FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Nissa FC x ASD Paterno for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ Nissa FC X ASD Paterno – Italy Serie D
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Nissa FC – Winning probability: 39.31% | Fair line: 2.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.12% | Fair line: 2.93
🔴 ASD Paterno – Winning probability: 26.57% | Fair line: 3.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nissa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Nissa FC x ASD Paterno is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nissa FC x ASD Paterno

Is betting on Nissa FC worth it?

🔵 Nissa FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $499.20
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$110.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $714.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$54.00.

Is it worth betting on ASD Paterno?

🔴 ASD Paterno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $499.50
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nissa FC x ASD Paterno

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nissa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nissa FC x ASD Paterno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Nissa FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Nissa FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Nissa FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nissa FC x ASD Paterno

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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