📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Njardvik x Kordrengir
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Analysis from Njardvik x Kordrengir for the Iceland Pre-Season Cup – 21 of January
🏟️ Njardvik X Kordrengir – Iceland Pre-Season Cup
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Njardvik x Kordrengir right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Njardvik x Kordrengir
Is it worth betting on Njardvik?
🔵 Njardvik: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $500.50;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $501.90
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$358.10.
Is it a good idea to bet on Kordrengir?
🔴 Kordrengir: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $363.60
- And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$83.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Njardvik x Kordrengir
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Njardvik
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Njardvik x Kordrengir
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Njardvik and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Njardvik.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Njardvik.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Njardvik x Kordrengir
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves