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Home Β» Predictions Β» NK Bistra x Sava Strmec Betting tips for September 29 in Croatia 3.NL
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h30 Croatia 3.NL
NK Bistra NK Bistra
PREDICTION No tip
Sava Strmec Sava Strmec
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NK Bistra x Sava Strmec Betting tips for September 29 in Croatia 3.NL

Our betting tip for NK Bistra x Sava Strmec, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
11:30
NK Bistra NK Bistra
2.00
X
3.56
Sava Strmec Sava Strmec
3.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NK Bistra x Sava Strmec:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for NK Bistra x Sava Strmec

Important information for your tip for NK Bistra x Sava Strmec:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Bistra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $37.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sava Strmec in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-400.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, NK Bistra scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sava Strmec conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Bistra x Sava Strmec for the Croatia 3.NL – 29 of September

🏟️ NK Bistra X Sava Strmec – Croatia 3.NL
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:30
πŸ”΅ NK Bistra – Winning probability: 51.20% | Fair line: 1.95
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.33% | Fair line: 3.8
πŸ”΄ Sava Strmec – Winning probability: 22.46% | Fair line: 4.45
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 NK Bistra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NK Bistra and Sava Strmec.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NK Bistra x Sava Strmec

Should you bet on NK Bistra?

πŸ”΅ NK Bistra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $665.60
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$74.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sava Strmec?

πŸ”΄ Sava Strmec: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $457.60;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$322.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Bistra x Sava Strmec

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 NK Bistra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Bistra x Sava Strmec

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 NK Bistra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 NK Bistra.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 NK Bistra.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Bistra x Sava Strmec

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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