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Home » Predictions » Others » NK Celje x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Conference League
Thursday, 06 November 2025, 17h45 UEFA Conference League
NK Celje NK Celje
PREDICTION NK Celje wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
ODD: @2.32
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NK Celje x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Conference League

Our betting tip for NK Celje x Legia Warsaw, Thursday, 6/11/2025
📅 6/11/2025
17:45
NK Celje NK Celje
2.32
X
3.40
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
2.87

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NK Celje x Legia Warsaw:

🔮 NK Celje wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NK Celje, you can win up to $1160.00!

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The main points for the tip for NK Celje x Legia Warsaw:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Celje in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $207.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Legia Warsaw in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Legia Warsaw scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Legia Warsaw conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on NK Celje x Legia Warsaw?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from NK Celje x Legia Warsaw for the UEFA Conference League – 6 of November

🏟️ NK Celje X Legia Warsaw – UEFA Conference League
📅 6 of November, 2025 – 17:45
🔵 NK Celje – Winning probability: 56.64% | Fair line: 1.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.01% | Fair line: 6.25
🔴 Legia Warsaw – Winning probability: 27.35% | Fair line: 3.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NK Celje
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NK Celje and Legia Warsaw.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1433555 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Celje x Legia Warsaw

Is betting on NK Celje worth it?

🔵 NK Celje: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $752.40;
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$322.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $384.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Should you bet on Legia Warsaw?

🔴 Legia Warsaw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $504.90;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Celje x Legia Warsaw

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NK Celje
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Celje x Legia Warsaw

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 NK Celje, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 NK Celje.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Celje x Legia Warsaw

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves