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Home ยป Predictions ยป NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun Betting tips for September 29 in Croatia 1.NL
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Croatia 1.NL
NK Croatia Zmijavci NK Croatia Zmijavci
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
NK Jarun NK Jarun
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun Betting tips for September 29 in Croatia 1.NL

Our betting tip for NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
10:00
NK Croatia Zmijavci NK Croatia Zmijavci
2.20
X
3.30
NK Jarun NK Jarun
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

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Some important points for the tip for NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Croatia Zmijavci in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Jarun in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, NK Jarun scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against NK Jarun, NK Croatia Zmijavci scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ NK Croatia Zmijavci has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against NK Jarun.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun:

Analysis from NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun for the Croatia 1.NL – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ NK Croatia Zmijavci X NK Jarun – Croatia 1.NL
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต NK Croatia Zmijavci – Winning probability: 36.35% | Fair line: 2.75
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.27% | Fair line: 2.76
๐Ÿ”ด NK Jarun – Winning probability: 27.38% | Fair line: 3.65
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 NK Croatia Zmijavci
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NK Croatia Zmijavci and NK Jarun.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun

Is betting on NK Croatia Zmijavci worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต NK Croatia Zmijavci: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $828.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$188.00.

Is it worth betting on NK Jarun?

๐Ÿ”ด NK Jarun: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$257.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 NK Croatia Zmijavci
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 NK Croatia Zmijavci, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 NK Croatia Zmijavci.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 NK Jarun.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Croatia Zmijavci x NK Jarun

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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