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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป NK Domzale x NK Maribor Betting tips for September 29 in Slovenia Prva Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 15h15 Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Domzale NK Domzale
PREDICTION NK Maribor Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
NK Maribor NK Maribor
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

NK Domzale x NK Maribor Betting tips for September 29 in Slovenia Prva Liga

Our betting tip for NK Domzale x NK Maribor, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
15:15
NK Domzale NK Domzale
5.00
X
4.00
NK Maribor NK Maribor
1.53

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NK Domzale x NK Maribor:

๐Ÿ”ฎ NK Maribor wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NK Maribor, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for NK Domzale x NK Maribor:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Domzale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ NK Domzale did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, NK Maribor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against NK Maribor, NK Domzale scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 NK Domzale matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 NK Maribor matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, NK Domzale conceded at least 3 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, NK Domzale conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against NK Maribor.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for NK Domzale as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on NK Domzale x NK Maribor?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on NK Domzale x NK Maribor, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from NK Domzale x NK Maribor for the Slovenia Prva Liga – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ NK Domzale X NK Maribor – Slovenia Prva Liga
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 15:15
๐Ÿ”ต NK Domzale – Winning probability: 7.21% | Fair line: 13.87
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.99% | Fair line: 7.7
๐Ÿ”ด NK Maribor – Winning probability: 79.80% | Fair line: 1.25
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 NK Domzale
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NK Domzale x NK Maribor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Domzale x NK Maribor

Should you bet on NK Domzale?

๐Ÿ”ต NK Domzale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$650.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$480.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Maribor?

๐Ÿ”ด NK Maribor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – profiting $424.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$224.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Domzale x NK Maribor

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 NK Domzale
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Domzale x NK Maribor

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 NK Domzale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 NK Domzale.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 NK Maribor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Domzale x NK Maribor

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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