NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961 Betting tips for December 1 in Croatia HNL

Our betting tip for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:00

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.88

X 3.30

Istra 1961 3.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961

The main points for the tip for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Istra 1961 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Istra 1961, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Istra 1961 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Istra 1961 playing at home.

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Analysis from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961 for the Croatia HNL – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and Istra 1961.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961

Is it worth betting on NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

🔵 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $475.20
• And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$15.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $690.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$10.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Istra 1961?

🔴 Istra 1961: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$392.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Istra 1961.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb x Istra 1961

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.