NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje Betting tips for December 1 in Slovenia Prva Liga

Our betting tip for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:00

NK Nafta 1903 5.83

X 4.20

NK Celje 1.43

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje

The main points for the tip for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Nafta 1903 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, NK Celje scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 9 NK Celje matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, NK Nafta 1903 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for NK Nafta 1903 as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje for the Slovenia Prva Liga – 1 of December

When the best bet on NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje

Is it worth betting on NK Nafta 1903?

🔵 NK Nafta 1903: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $483.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$417.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $736.00;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Is betting on NK Celje worth it?

🔴 NK Celje: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $288.10;
• And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$41.90, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 NK Nafta 1903
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 NK Nafta 1903, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 NK Nafta 1903. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Celje

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.