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Home » Predictions » Others » NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor Betting tips for April 16 in Slovenia Prva Liga
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 15h30 Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Nafta 1903 NK Nafta 1903
PREDICTION NK Maribor Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
NK Maribor NK Maribor
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor Betting tips for April 16 in Slovenia Prva Liga

Our betting tip for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
15:30
NK Nafta 1903 NK Nafta 1903
5.50
X
4.10
NK Maribor NK Maribor
1.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor:

🔮 NK Maribor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NK Maribor, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Nafta 1903 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Maribor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-52.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, NK Nafta 1903 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor, with NK Nafta 1903 as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, NK Nafta 1903 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, NK Maribor conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, NK Nafta 1903 conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against NK Maribor.
👉 Even as a visitor, NK Maribor won the last 3 head-to-head matches NK Nafta 1903´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor for the Slovenia Prva Liga – 16 of April

🏟️ NK Nafta 1903 X NK Maribor – Slovenia Prva Liga
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 NK Nafta 1903 – Winning probability: 7.93% | Fair line: 12.62
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.94% | Fair line: 7.73
🔴 NK Maribor – Winning probability: 79.13% | Fair line: 1.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 NK Nafta 1903
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NK Nafta 1903 and NK Maribor.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304980 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Nafta 1903?

🔵 NK Nafta 1903: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $403.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$467.00.

Is it worth betting on NK Maribor?

🔴 NK Maribor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $395.00
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 NK Nafta 1903
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 NK Nafta 1903, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 NK Nafta 1903.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 NK Maribor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Nafta 1903 x NK Maribor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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