Nkwazi x ZESCO United Betting tips for January 12 in Zambia Super League

Our betting tip for Nkwazi x ZESCO United, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:00

Nkwazi 2.40

X 2.76

ZESCO United 3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nkwazi x ZESCO United:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Nkwazi x ZESCO United

Some important points for the tip for Nkwazi x ZESCO United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nkwazi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $181.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on ZESCO United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 ZESCO United matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Nkwazi x ZESCO United, with Nkwazi as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, ZESCO United has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Nkwazi x ZESCO United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nkwazi x ZESCO United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nkwazi x ZESCO United for the Zambia Super League – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nkwazi x ZESCO United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nkwazi x ZESCO United

Is it a good idea to bet on Nkwazi?

🔵 Nkwazi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $651.20
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$21.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on ZESCO United?

🔴 ZESCO United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $580.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nkwazi x ZESCO United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nkwazi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nkwazi x ZESCO United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Nkwazi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nkwazi.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Nkwazi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nkwazi x ZESCO United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.