Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19 Betting tips for April 12 in Portugal U19 League

Our betting tip for Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 15:00

Nogueirense U19 4.65

X 4.42

Rio Ave U19 1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19:

🔮 Rio Ave U19 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rio Ave U19, you can win up to $740.00!

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The main points for the tip for Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nogueirense U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $72.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nogueirense U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Rio Ave U19 has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Nogueirense U19 as home team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19 for the Portugal U19 League – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nogueirense U19 and Rio Ave U19.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19

Is it worth betting on Nogueirense U19?

🔵 Nogueirense U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $255.50
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$674.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $376.20
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$513.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rio Ave U19?

🔴 Rio Ave U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $398.40
• And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$228.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Nogueirense U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Nogueirense U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Nogueirense U19.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Rio Ave U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nogueirense U19 x Rio Ave U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.