North Bangkok University x Maejo United Betting tips for May 11 in Thailand Division 3
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11/5/2025 09:00 |
 North Bangkok University2.30 |
X 3.00 |
Maejo United  2.87 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for North Bangkok University x Maejo United:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for North Bangkok University x Maejo United
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Important information for your tip for North Bangkok University x Maejo United: π If you had bet $100 on North Bangkok University in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $218.0. |
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Analysis from North Bangkok University x Maejo United for the Thailand Division 3 – 11 of May
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ποΈ North Bangkok University X Maejo United – Thailand Division 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for North Bangkok University x Maejo United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for North Bangkok University x Maejo United
Is it worth betting on North Bangkok University?
π΅ North Bangkok University: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$12.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$160.00.
Should you bet on Maejo United?
π΄ Maejo United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $504.90;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$225.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match North Bangkok University x Maejo United
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 North Bangkok University
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for North Bangkok University x Maejo United
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 North Bangkok University and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 North Bangkok University.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for North Bangkok University x Maejo United
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
