North District x Hong Kong FC Betting tips for April 13 in Hong Kong Premier League

Our betting tip for North District x Hong Kong FC, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 07:00

North District 1.59

X 4.04

Hong Kong FC 4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for North District x Hong Kong FC:

🔮 North District wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on North District, you can win up to $795.00!

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Some important points for the tip for North District x Hong Kong FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on North District in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hong Kong FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, North District scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 North District matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between North District x Hong Kong FC, with North District as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, North District conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Hong Kong FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, North District conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Hong Kong FC.

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Analysis from North District x Hong Kong FC for the Hong Kong Premier League – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for North District x Hong Kong FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302086 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for North District x Hong Kong FC

Is it worth betting on North District?

🔵 North District: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $407.10
• And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$97.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $516.80
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$313.20.

Is betting on Hong Kong FC worth it?

🔴 Hong Kong FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$356.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match North District x Hong Kong FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 North District
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for North District x Hong Kong FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 North District, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 North District.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for North District x Hong Kong FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.