Northampton x Birmingham Betting tips for March 15 in England League 1
| 📅 15/3/2025 15:00 |
 Northampton6.50 |
X 4.00 |
Birmingham  1.47 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Northampton x Birmingham:
🔮 Birmingham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Birmingham, you can win up to $735.00!
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The main points for the tip for Northampton x Birmingham: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Northampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0. |
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Analysis from Northampton x Birmingham for the England League 1 – 15 of March
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🏟️ Northampton X Birmingham – England League 1 |
When the best bet on Northampton x Birmingham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Northampton x Birmingham
Is it worth betting on Northampton?
🔵 Northampton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $660.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Birmingham?
🔴 Birmingham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $333.70
- And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$43.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Northampton x Birmingham
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Northampton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Northampton x Birmingham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Northampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Northampton.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Northampton x Birmingham
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
