📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Norwich U23 x Burnley U23
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Analysis from Norwich U23 x Burnley U23 for the England Premier League 2 – 21 of January
🏟️ Norwich U23 X Burnley U23 – England Premier League 2
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Norwich U23 and Burnley U23.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290581 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Norwich U23 x Burnley U23
Is it a good idea to bet on Norwich U23?
🔵 Norwich U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $381.04;
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$178.96.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $514.90;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$295.10.
Is it worth betting on Burnley U23?
🔴 Burnley U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $860.25;
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$230.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match Norwich U23 x Burnley U23
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Norwich U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Norwich U23 x Burnley U23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Norwich U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Norwich U23.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Norwich U23 x Burnley U23
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves