Notts County x Alfreton Town Betting tips for November 1 in England FA Cup
📅 1/11/2024 19:45 |
Notts County 1.39 |
X 4.60 |
Alfreton Town 7.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Notts County x Alfreton Town:
🔮 Notts County wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Notts County, you can win up to $695.00!
Important information for your tip for Notts County x Alfreton Town: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Notts County in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-122.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Notts County x Alfreton Town?
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Analysis from Notts County x Alfreton Town for the England FA Cup – 1 of November
🏟️ Notts County X Alfreton Town – England FA Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Notts County x Alfreton Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213551 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Notts County x Alfreton Town
Is betting on Notts County worth it?
🔵 Notts County: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 92.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 920 times – profiting $358.80;
- And would lose other 80 times – having a loss of -$80.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$278.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $108.00
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$862.00.
Is betting on Alfreton Town worth it?
🔴 Alfreton Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $260.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Notts County x Alfreton Town
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Notts County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Notts County x Alfreton Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Notts County and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Notts County.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Alfreton Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Notts County x Alfreton Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.