📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Notts County x Barnet
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Analysis from Notts County x Barnet for the England National League – 21 of January
🏟️ Notts County X Barnet – England National League
When the best bet on Notts County x Barnet is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Notts County x Barnet
Is betting on Notts County worth it?
🔵 Notts County: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $347.70
- And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$42.30.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $570.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$240.00.
Should you bet on Barnet?
🔴 Barnet: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $790.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Notts County x Barnet
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Notts County
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Notts County x Barnet
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Notts County, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Notts County.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Notts County x Barnet
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves