Nova Iguacu x Botafogo Betting tips for February 7 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
| 📅 7/2/2025 00:45 |
 Nova Iguacu4.72 |
X 3.38 |
Botafogo  1.65 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nova Iguacu x Botafogo:
🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $825.00!
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The main points for the tip for Nova Iguacu x Botafogo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nova Iguacu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nova Iguacu x Botafogo?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nova Iguacu x Botafogo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Nova Iguacu x Botafogo for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 7 of February
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🏟️ Nova Iguacu X Botafogo – Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
When the best bet on Nova Iguacu x Botafogo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1258216 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nova Iguacu x Botafogo
Is it worth betting on Nova Iguacu?
🔵 Nova Iguacu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $334.80;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$575.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $571.20
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.80.
Should you bet on Botafogo?
🔴 Botafogo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 670 times – profiting $435.50;
- And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$105.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nova Iguacu x Botafogo
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Nova Iguacu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nova Iguacu x Botafogo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Nova Iguacu, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Nova Iguacu. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nova Iguacu x Botafogo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
