NovaRomentino x Chisola Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 2/10/2024 10:00 |
 NovaRomentino2.55 |
X 3.12 |
Chisola 2.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NovaRomentino x Chisola:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for NovaRomentino x Chisola
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on NovaRomentino x Chisola?
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Analysis from NovaRomentino x Chisola for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October
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🏟️ NovaRomentino X Chisola – Italy Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NovaRomentino and Chisola.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for NovaRomentino x Chisola
Is it worth betting on NovaRomentino?
🔵 NovaRomentino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $403.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $636.00
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$64.00.
Is betting on Chisola worth it?
🔴 Chisola: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $660.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$100.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match NovaRomentino x Chisola
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NovaRomentino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NovaRomentino x Chisola
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 NovaRomentino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 NovaRomentino.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 NovaRomentino.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NovaRomentino x Chisola
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
