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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina Betting tips for March 15 in Slovenia Prva Liga
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 14h00 Slovenia Prva Liga
NS Mura NS Mura
PREDICTION No tip
NK Primorje Ajdovscina NK Primorje Ajdovscina
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NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina Betting tips for March 15 in Slovenia Prva Liga

Our betting tip for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina, Saturday, 15/3/2025
πŸ“… 15/3/2025
14:00
NS Mura NS Mura
1.98
X
3.10
NK Primorje Ajdovscina NK Primorje Ajdovscina
3.94

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina

The main points for the tip for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NS Mura in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NK Primorje Ajdovscina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, NK Primorje Ajdovscina scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 NS Mura matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 NK Primorje Ajdovscina matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, NK Primorje Ajdovscina conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina for the Slovenia Prva Liga – 15 of March

🏟️ NS Mura X NK Primorje Ajdovscina – Slovenia Prva Liga
πŸ“… 15 of March, 2025 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ NS Mura – Winning probability: 51.69% | Fair line: 1.93
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.94% | Fair line: 3.46
πŸ”΄ NK Primorje Ajdovscina – Winning probability: 19.37% | Fair line: 5.16
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NS Mura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina

Is betting on NS Mura worth it?

πŸ”΅ NS Mura: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $509.60;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$29.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Primorje Ajdovscina?

πŸ”΄ NK Primorje Ajdovscina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $558.60
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$251.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NS Mura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 NS Mura and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 NS Mura.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 NK Primorje Ajdovscina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NS Mura x NK Primorje Ajdovscina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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