Numancia x Deportivo Fabril Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Numancia x Deportivo Fabril, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

Numancia 1.64

X 3.50

Deportivo Fabril 4.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Numancia x Deportivo Fabril:

🔮 Numancia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Numancia, you can win up to $820.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Numancia x Deportivo Fabril: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Numancia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Fabril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Numancia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Numancia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Fabril matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Fabril conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Numancia x Deportivo Fabril?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Numancia x Deportivo Fabril:

Analysis from Numancia x Deportivo Fabril for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Numancia x Deportivo Fabril is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Numancia x Deportivo Fabril

Should you bet on Numancia?

🔵 Numancia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 720 times – profiting $460.80;
• And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$180.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $425.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$405.00.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Fabril?

🔴 Deportivo Fabril: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $407.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$483.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Numancia x Deportivo Fabril

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Numancia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Numancia x Deportivo Fabril

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Numancia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Numancia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Deportivo Fabril.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Numancia x Deportivo Fabril

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.