Numancia x Real Avila Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
| 📅 13/4/2025 16:00 |
 Numancia1.74 |
X 3.00 |
Real Avila  4.93 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Numancia x Real Avila:
🔮 Numancia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Numancia, you can win up to $870.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Numancia x Real Avila: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Numancia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-51.0. |
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Analysis from Numancia x Real Avila for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 13 of April
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🏟️ Numancia X Real Avila – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Numancia x Real Avila right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Numancia x Real Avila
Should you bet on Numancia?
🔵 Numancia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $458.80;
- And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$78.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $600.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.
Is it worth betting on Real Avila?
🔴 Real Avila: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $275.10
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$654.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Numancia x Real Avila
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Numancia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Numancia x Real Avila
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Numancia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Numancia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Numancia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Numancia x Real Avila
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
