O Elvas x Guimaraes Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Cup
| 📅 12/1/2025 14:00 |
 O Elvas8.93 |
X 4.75 |
Guimaraes  1.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for O Elvas x Guimaraes:
🔮 Guimaraes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guimaraes, you can win up to $650.00!
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Some important points for the tip for O Elvas x Guimaraes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on O Elvas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $388.0. |
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Analysis from O Elvas x Guimaraes for the Portugal Cup – 12 of January
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🏟️ O Elvas X Guimaraes – Portugal Cup |
When the best bet on O Elvas x Guimaraes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for O Elvas x Guimaraes
Is it worth betting on O Elvas?
🔵 O Elvas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $237.90;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$732.10.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $225.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$715.00.
Is betting on Guimaraes worth it?
🔴 Guimaraes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $273.00
- And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match O Elvas x Guimaraes
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 O Elvas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for O Elvas x Guimaraes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 O Elvas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 O Elvas.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for O Elvas x Guimaraes
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
