O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora Betting tips for May 11 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora, Sunday, 11/5/2025

📅 11/5/2025
16:00

O Elvas
2.80

X
3.10

Lusitano GC Evora

2.35

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora

Some important points for the tip for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora:

👉 If you had bet $100 on O Elvas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 O Elvas did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lusitano GC Evora scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Lusitano GC Evora has not lost any of them.

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 11 of May

🏟️ O Elvas X Lusitano GC Evora – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 O Elvas – Winning probability: 22.47% | Fair line: 4.45
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.81% | Fair line: 2.96
🔴 Lusitano GC Evora – Winning probability: 43.72% | Fair line: 2.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 O Elvas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1322673 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora

Should you bet on O Elvas?

🔵 O Elvas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 340 times – profiting $714.00;
And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$54.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Lusitano GC Evora?

🔴 Lusitano GC Evora: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $594.00;
And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 O Elvas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 O Elvas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 O Elvas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Lusitano GC Evora.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for O Elvas x Lusitano GC Evora

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.