Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara Betting tips for September 29 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 19:00

Oaxaca 4.19

X 3.55

Universidad Guadalajara 1.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara:

🔮 Universidad Guadalajara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universidad Guadalajara, you can win up to $850.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Oaxaca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Oaxaca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Oaxaca matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Universidad Guadalajara. 👉 Universidad Guadalajara is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 29 of September

When the best bet on Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara

Is betting on Oaxaca worth it?

🔵 Oaxaca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $446.60
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$413.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $612.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$148.00.

Should you bet on Universidad Guadalajara?

🔴 Universidad Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $427.00;
• And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$37.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Oaxaca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Oaxaca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Oaxaca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Oaxaca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oaxaca x Universidad Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.