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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo Betting tips for September 29 in Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Ukraine Vyscha Liga
Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Ingulets Petrovo Ingulets Petrovo
ODD: @2.91 Don't miss this prediction!

Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo Betting tips for September 29 in Ukraine Vyscha Liga

Our betting tip for Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
07:00
Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv
2.60
X
2.91
Ingulets Petrovo Ingulets Petrovo
2.74

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1455.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Obolon Kyiv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ingulets Petrovo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Obolon Kyiv did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Ingulets Petrovo, Obolon Kyiv scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo, with Obolon Kyiv as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ingulets Petrovo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Obolon Kyiv has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Ingulets Petrovo playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo for the Ukraine Vyscha Liga – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Obolon Kyiv X Ingulets Petrovo – Ukraine Vyscha Liga
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
๐Ÿ”ต Obolon Kyiv – Winning probability: 30.27% | Fair line: 3.3
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.28% | Fair line: 2.55
๐Ÿ”ด Ingulets Petrovo – Winning probability: 30.45% | Fair line: 3.28
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Obolon Kyiv
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Obolon Kyiv and Ingulets Petrovo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo

Is betting on Obolon Kyiv worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Obolon Kyiv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$220.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $744.90;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$134.90.

Is it worth betting on Ingulets Petrovo?

๐Ÿ”ด Ingulets Petrovo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $522.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$178.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Obolon Kyiv
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Obolon Kyiv, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Obolon Kyiv.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Ingulets Petrovo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Obolon Kyiv x Ingulets Petrovo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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