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Home » Predictions » Others » OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia Betting tips for January 11 in Morocco GNF 1
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 17h00 Morocco GNF 1
OC Safi OC Safi
PREDICTION OC Safi wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
SC Chabab Mohammedia SC Chabab Mohammedia
ODD: @1.17 Don't miss this prediction!

OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia Betting tips for January 11 in Morocco GNF 1

Our betting tip for OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
17:00
OC Safi OC Safi
1.17
X
6.00
SC Chabab Mohammedia SC Chabab Mohammedia
13.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia:

🔮 OC Safi wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on OC Safi, you can win up to $585.00!

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Important information for your tip for OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on OC Safi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Chabab Mohammedia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia, with OC Safi as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, SC Chabab Mohammedia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 OC Safi has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against SC Chabab Mohammedia playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia for the Morocco GNF 1 – 11 of January

🏟️ OC Safi X SC Chabab Mohammedia – Morocco GNF 1
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 OC Safi – Winning probability: 97.29% | Fair line: 1.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.54% | Fair line: 39.38
🔴 SC Chabab Mohammedia – Winning probability: 0.17% | Fair line: 592.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 OC Safi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia

Is betting on OC Safi worth it?

🔵 OC Safi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $164.90;
  • And would lose other 30 times – having a loss of -$30.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$134.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$820.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Chabab Mohammedia?

🔴 SC Chabab Mohammedia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 OC Safi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 OC Safi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 OC Safi.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 OC Safi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OC Safi x SC Chabab Mohammedia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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