📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Odisha FC x FC Goa
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Analysis from Odisha FC x FC Goa for the India Super League – 24 of December
🏟️ Odisha FC X FC Goa – India Super League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Odisha FC x FC Goaright, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 281997 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Odisha FC x FC Goa
Should you bet on Odisha FC?
🔵 Odisha FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $425.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.
Is it worth betting on FC Goa?
🔴 FC Goa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $685.44;
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$195.44.
Handicaps analysis for the match Odisha FC x FC Goa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Odisha FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Odisha FC x FC Goa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Odisha FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Odisha FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies nand the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2market.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Odisha FC x FC Goa
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies nand the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicapmarket.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves