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Home » Predictions » Others » OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen Betting tips for February 2 in Belgium First Amateur Division
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 14h00 Belgium First Amateur Division
OH Leuven II OH Leuven II
PREDICTION No tip
Royal Cappellen Royal Cappellen
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OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen Betting tips for February 2 in Belgium First Amateur Division

Our betting tip for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
14:00
OH Leuven II OH Leuven II
2.15
X
3.30
Royal Cappellen Royal Cappellen
2.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen

The main points for the tip for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on OH Leuven II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, OH Leuven II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, OH Leuven II conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 2 of February

🏟️ OH Leuven II X Royal Cappellen – Belgium First Amateur Division
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 OH Leuven II – Winning probability: 44.94% | Fair line: 2.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.90% | Fair line: 3.58
🔴 Royal Cappellen – Winning probability: 27.16% | Fair line: 3.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 OH Leuven II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen

Should you bet on OH Leuven II?

🔵 OH Leuven II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $517.50;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it worth betting on Royal Cappellen?

🔴 Royal Cappellen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $496.80;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 OH Leuven II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 OH Leuven II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 OH Leuven II.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OH Leuven II x Royal Cappellen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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