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Home » Predictions » Others » Ohod Madinah x Al Najma Betting tips for January 11 in Saudi Arabia Division 1
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 12h55 Saudi Arabia Division 1
Ohod Madinah Ohod Madinah
PREDICTION Al Najma Wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Al Najma Al Najma
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Ohod Madinah x Al Najma Betting tips for January 11 in Saudi Arabia Division 1

Our betting tip for Ohod Madinah x Al Najma, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
12:55
Ohod Madinah Ohod Madinah
4.50
X
3.47
Al Najma Al Najma
1.67

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ohod Madinah x Al Najma:

🔮 Al Najma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Najma, you can win up to $835.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Ohod Madinah x Al Najma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ohod Madinah in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Najma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Ohod Madinah scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Ohod Madinah matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ohod Madinah conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Al Najma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Al Najma as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ohod Madinah x Al Najma for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 11 of January

🏟️ Ohod Madinah X Al Najma – Saudi Arabia Division 1
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 12:55
🔵 Ohod Madinah – Winning probability: 9.94% | Fair line: 10.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.74% | Fair line: 5.07
🔴 Al Najma – Winning probability: 70.32% | Fair line: 1.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ohod Madinah
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ohod Madinah and Al Najma.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ohod Madinah x Al Najma

Is it a good idea to bet on Ohod Madinah?

🔵 Ohod Madinah: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $350.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$306.00.

Should you bet on Al Najma?

🔴 Al Najma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $469.00
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$169.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ohod Madinah x Al Najma

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ohod Madinah
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ohod Madinah x Al Najma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Ohod Madinah, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Ohod Madinah. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ohod Madinah x Al Najma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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