Olancho FC x CD Marathon Betting tips for December 1 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Olancho FC x CD Marathon, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 01:00

Olancho FC 1.95

X 3.20

CD Marathon 3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Olancho FC x CD Marathon:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Olancho FC x CD Marathon

Important information for your tip for Olancho FC x CD Marathon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Olancho FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $2.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Marathon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Olancho FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against CD Marathon, Olancho FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Olancho FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, CD Marathon has not lost any of them. 👉 Olancho FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against CD Marathon playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Olancho FC x CD Marathon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Olancho FC x CD Marathon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Olancho FC x CD Marathon for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Olancho FC x CD Marathon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Olancho FC x CD Marathon

Is betting on Olancho FC worth it?

🔵 Olancho FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $503.50;
• And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$33.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is betting on CD Marathon worth it?

🔴 CD Marathon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $396.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$424.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Olancho FC x CD Marathon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Olancho FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olancho FC x CD Marathon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Olancho FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Olancho FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Olancho FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olancho FC x CD Marathon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.