Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion Betting tips for July 6 in Paraguay Division Profesional
| 📅 6/7/2025 19:00 |
 Olimpia Asuncion2.00 |
X 3.10 |
Nacional Asuncion  3.68 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion:
🔮 Olimpia Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olimpia Asuncion, you can win up to $1000.00!
Important information for your tip for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olimpia Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-382.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion, with Olimpia Asuncion as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nacional Asuncion conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Olimpia Asuncion conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Nacional Asuncion.
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion?
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Analysis from Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 6 of July
🏟️ Olimpia Asuncion X Nacional Asuncion – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Olimpia Asuncion – Winning probability: 52.88% | Fair line: 1.89
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.20% | Fair line: 4.95
🔴 Nacional Asuncion – Winning probability: 26.91% | Fair line: 3.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Olimpia Asuncion and Nacional Asuncion.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348919 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion
Should you bet on Olimpia Asuncion?
🔵 Olimpia Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $530.00
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$60.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$380.00.
Is betting on Nacional Asuncion worth it?
🔴 Nacional Asuncion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $723.60;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$6.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Olimpia Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Olimpia Asuncion, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Olimpia Asuncion.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Olimpia Asuncion x Nacional Asuncion
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
